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Blinder now says: “It’s true that very high leverage was a big source of the problem but the net capital rule does not appear to have changed that much” (The New York Times hasn’t issued a correction to his op-ed) Woodward now says that while she doesn’t think the 2004 change is even on the top ten list of the most important contributors to the crisis it doesn’t really matter because “everyone agrees that too much leverage was a key cause” Pickard for his part believes that the rule change hasn’t gotten enough blame yet and he says that if leverage at the holding companies was higher in the 1990s then the investment banks must have been playing games with their booksMore recently Andrew Lo the director of MIT’s Laboratory for Financial Engineering wrote a In his paper he pointed out the fallacy of blaming increased leverage on the 2004 rule change Although Lo’s paper was picked up by the Economist even that didn’t spur any of the academics who made the mistake to correct it WhyThe best reason was voiced by James Kwak who co-authored the book Thirteen Bankers with Simon Johnson The book also links the increased leverage at the holding companies to the SEC’s rule change (although Johnson and Kwak never say the leverage was limited to 12:1 beforehand) In a to Lo’s paper Kwak argues that Lo is making too big a deal out of this because the rule change “very well might” have played a role in the increased leverage even if “we can’t tell how much” In a conversation with me Simon Johnson Kwak’s co-author argued that even if the broker-dealers kept excess capital on hand well they might have kept more excess capital had the rule change not occurred This is indeed possible although over time the excess capital that the broker-dealers kept varied wildly making it hard to see that they were targeting a specific amount of excess In any event Kwak and Johnson have a point: What happened at the broker-dealer level is murky and should be better understood But the problem is that saying the rule change “might” have caused increased leverage just at the broker-dealer level is very different from saying it was an important cause of the crisis (especially since Lehman’s broker-dealer stayed solvent after its bankruptcy — it wasn’t the root of Lehman’s problems) At this point the burden of proof should be on those who have claimed that the rule change was seminalAnother reason that was suggested to me is that it’s politically incorrect to challenge the conventional wisdom about the rule change because doing so might be construed as a defense of the SEC or the investment banks That’s ridiculous: Facts are facts and those who supposedly traffic in them should have respect for them In addition it’s far from a defense of the SEC to say that the rule change has been misrepresented It may well have had pernicious effects that aren’t well understood yet The broader context of the 2004 rule change was that as Labaton pointed out the SEC agreed to supervise the investment bank holding companies and it clearly failed in those responsibilities While the 2004 rule change offered a lovely explanation for that failure — blind incompetence is easily fixable — the real failings might be harder to fix especially if we’re not looking for themA third reason I was given for why this mistake is no big deal is that because high leverage was surely to blame for the crisis it’s beside the point whether the 2004 rule change made things worse or not That’s silly — saying cancer killed the patient and saying the water he drank gave him the cancer are two very different claims And it’s also dangerous because if the rule change wasn’t behind the increased leverage at the investment banks or the broker-dealers then what was If our goal is to prevent another crisis isn’t it important to understand what actually happened Or as Lo said to me: “If we haven’t captured the killer then the real killer is still out there somewhere”PHOTOS: The US Securities and Exchange Commission logo adorns an office door at the SEC headquarters in Washington June 24 2011 REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst; Princeton University Professor of Economics Alan Blinder speaks during a presentation at the American Economic Association Conference in Atlanta January 3 2010 REUTERS/Tami Chappell Securities and Exchange Commission that allowed investment banks to load up on leverage. for example.Unlike other carriers who rely on hardware upgrades to wow passengers,louboutin shoes, T.What the president didn’t mention is that the share of full-time workers who earn the federal minimum wage is very low.Employers and employees have a common cause here and should not let an evanescent rally blind them to the steady bleed that fees represent. but in part the old-fashioned way: by not investing for the future. will have to fall.Anne McIntosh,michael kors bags, this newscandal has exposed the sometimes murky labyrinth by which foodreaches Europe's dinner tables. 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